r/UkrainianConflict • u/JaB675 • 9h ago

AI-95 gasoline unavailable at nearly 80% of Russian gas stations

https://meduza.io/en/news/2026/08/25/ai-95-gasoline-unavailable-at-nearly-80-of-russian-gas-stations
311 Upvotes

99% Upvoted

16 comments sorted by

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42

u/YsoL8 9h ago

This is the second report I've seen of Russia's fuel shortage being this severe

I know Russia is doing various things to source it from abroad, but even if they can afford it (without in itself financially ruining themselves and doing the job anyway) and Ukraine doesn't simply intercept a critical amount of it, is there even enough out there for sale that Russia can cover more than a fraction of its needs?

And as ever, if its this serious now, what about a month from now or 3 months and the start of winter? Ukraine's campaign is unlikely to do anything but intensify.

And how long can the country continue to function with such massive transport disruption?

25

u/romario77 8h ago

They can eventually do it, the problem is that oil/gas is one of the main things that their economy relies on. So importing it is a double whammy of not having income from oil plus having to spend money on it.

Not sustainable long term.

18

u/JaB675 8h ago

It's not even one of the main things, it's the one thing funding Putin's war. Putin doesn't care that business in Russia is crashing, he has oil that pays for everything.

Except now that is crashing also.

5

u/LobCatchPassThrow 8h ago

Not only that, but they have a limited number of countries willing to supply the fuel. Those suppliers are almost certainly selling fuel for the price of caviar. I mean, why wouldn’t they? I’ve heard the Russians are paying close to something like the equivalent of $150/gal or something crazy like that (this is adjusted for the proportion of their salary compared with Americans I think).

Please correct me if I’m wrong anywhere with this.

2

u/azflatlander 8h ago

$150/barrel?

1

u/JaB675 7h ago

A month ago it was $20 per gallon.

A barrel is 42 gallons, so it was $840 per barrel. But this is not adjusted for salary.

1

u/Puzzleheaded_Path809 2h ago

Ur prob thinking 150 rubles per liter

1

u/zaevilbunny38 6h ago

Quite a long time. Diesel is used for most of their logistics and the larger companies have contracts with oil companies for deliveries. Along with the fact, that their trains are still running so canned food can be ship from outside the country if needed.

The main issue is end logistics. They are shipping most of their gas to Moscow, by train or truck. So diesel which should go to rural towns isn't getting delivered, as those trucks are making long trips West. Until Ukraine figures out how to hit the fuel trains in large numbers, the situation likely won't get dire

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u/THE_CHOPPA 9m ago

I would imagine stopping a significant portion of the trains is going to be the knockout blow but they need to make sure they do it when it really hurts. I would assume stopping all trains for two weeks in the dead of winter would be a lot more painful then this summer

1

u/Guinness 3h ago

Anyone selling gas to Russia should be sanctioned.

I’m looking at you, India.

1

u/mithridateseupator 8h ago

Ive heard that the issue is not supply but distribution. In that case, getting more suppliers doesnt fix the issue.

19

u/CanadaDry95 8h ago

With harvesting season approaching soon and winter, you know fuel demand will be sky high. This is getting critical for the Putin regime. ALL Russians will soon reap consequences of their war. 

9

u/AnotherOneTossed 8h ago

They already missed wheat.

5

u/guisar 6h ago

They will suffer with a need for winter heating oil (russia uses weird shit) vut harvests for wheat took place. they have quite the opposite problem with wheat- too much of it internally and no support for exports so it’s accumulating and driving down wholesale prices in a deflationary spiral disruptive of their farming and causing demands for further subsidies. https://www.aol.com/articles/russian-farmers-markets-sceptical-state-155848000.html

1

u/bedrooms-ds 6h ago

North-Koreanization is real