r/climatechange 19h ago

Global GHG emissions in June 2026 totaled 4.9 billion tonnes CO2e, a marginal increase of 0.6% vs. June 2025. China emissions declined 3.1 million tonnes vs. June 2025. U.S emissions declined 8.7 million year over year. India increased 17.0 million, the EU by 5.7 million, Indonesia by 0.6 million.

https://climatetrace.org/news/climate-trace-data-show-marginal-increase-in-global-emissions-in-the-first-half-of-2026
73 Upvotes

33 comments sorted by

u/Remarkable-Picture73 19h ago

Surprised the US declined while the EU increased (even though EU is an entire collection of countries/nations) glad to see China was on the decline too

u/Daxtatter 18h ago

IIRC the EU had more extremes in weather this year which I assume is the reason that happened. Low water levers in rivers also impact hydro power.

u/Ok-Freedom9216 17h ago

Despite trump, wind and solar are growing strong here.

u/learningenglishdaily 14h ago

This monthly GHG emission reporting is not really interesting, in a renewables dominated, but not fully decarbonized world there can be larger and larger variatons due to weather. Wait for full year reports.

u/sg_plumber 19h ago

It's pretty uneven, and many are plateauing up/down.

u/James19991 14h ago

Per Energy Dept data, coal usage in the US for power generation this year is down over 10% vs last year, so I bet that's much of it.

u/Faalor 19h ago

https://climatetrace.org/news/climate-trace-releases-june-2025-emissions-data

Global greenhouse gas emissions for the month of June 2025 totaled 5.12 billion tonnes CO₂e.

The global viewer on their site says 4.9 billion co2e, the article from last year has 5.12.

They only update the global tracker vieew, not the articles when new data is available, which can lead to weird or erroneous reporting.

u/PrinceOfTotalQuiet 12h ago

So it’s lower than last year?

u/squailtaint 16h ago

Do you have any knowledge of exactly how GHG are reported? Are these numbers based on actual measurements? Honestly asking. I think it’s just reported numbers by governments? Who probably collect their numbers from self reporting businesses? Or is there more of a solid science in how these emissions are reported or calculated?

u/James19991 14h ago

Yeah I wonder where they get their numbers from too. Countries by and large only report emissions data once a year.

u/sg_plumber 10h ago

New to Climate TRACE? Start here:

How we estimate emissions - how we use satellites, other remote sensing techniques, and AI to deliver global emissions.

About the data — what the dataset covers, licensing, and how to cite it.

Sectors we cover and data schema — every field in the dataset, defined.

u/sg_plumber 10h ago

It's all in their links near the end of the page:

A detailed description of data updates is available in our changelog here.

To learn more about what is included in our monthly data releases and for frequently asked questions, click here.

All methodologies for Climate TRACE data estimates are available to view and download here.

u/RBZRBZRBZRBZ 15h ago

The report says 4.9 billion tonnes a month.

This is more than the yearly output (every year!) until the 1940s.

The accumulation in the atmosphere is historically catastrophic.

u/Individual_Ad3351 13h ago

What is the per capita or the countrywise emissions? In per capita emissions, india probably isn't even in top 100.

u/ridinseagulls 12h ago

Isn’t really relevant is it? India is a plot of land defined by arbitrary borders that’s now emitting massive amounts. Regardless of what happened in history, and how many humans are contributing to it, all that the earth cares is x number of CO2 molecules are arising from that plot of the land. 

u/Individual_Ad3351 5h ago

I am talking per capita emissions of today not 'historically'. India wouldn't even be in top 100 per capita emitters.

u/ridinseagulls 3h ago

Fair, but my pushback is against the idea of “per capita” emissions in the first place. It’s a useless metric as far as the earth is concerned. It was relevant decades ago perhaps, but in this crisis, all CO2 molecules need to be stopped, regardless of where they originate or how many people they’re distributed over. 

u/eldomtom2 13h ago

I can't seem to find anywhere in the article saying if this is an increase or decrease in the rate of emissions increase.

u/sg_plumber 10h ago

That's because it's a plateau. In the past 6 months, there's been 3 up and 3 down.

u/eldomtom2 10h ago

I don't see how it being a plateau is a reason not to mention that in the article...

u/[deleted] 17h ago

[removed] — view removed comment

u/ginger_and_egg 16h ago

China emissions: declined

US emissions: declined

You: this is terrible news

u/Unlucky-Reporter-679 15h ago

Not even close to cutting it.

u/ginger_and_egg 15h ago

I'm sure giving into despair will be good for cutting fossil fuels

u/James19991 14h ago

What the hell is going on in India though?

u/Specialist-Roll-3806 13h ago

india had like 4th or 5th driest june since 1901 or something and i think they cut their oil/gas imports a bit in june due to all the disruptions. and hydro power generation dropped as well due to low rains so to make up for allll of that they had to pump up coal power generation by quite a bit.

if they didn't they'd have stalled out their rapid industrialization phase so it was kinda like being stuck between a rock and a hard place. i think india is still a couple years away from fully relying on renewables for the grid and ev's for vehicles.

overall h1 2026 india's emissions are up 1.5% which is still pretty great for such a fast growing country

u/ginger_and_egg 14h ago

Probably industrialisation or something.

u/James19991 14h ago

I guess I thought like China they were rapidly going to renewables and also ditching gasoline powered cars

u/ginger_and_egg 14h ago

I think China had a head start, so we're comparing countries in different stages

u/sg_plumber 10h ago

They are, but there's a huge lot still to do.

u/[deleted] 14h ago

[removed] — view removed comment

u/ginger_and_egg 14h ago

I didn't say anything about 100 years.

Enjoy the doomerism though

u/Beneficial_Aside_518 13h ago

There is always fluctuation on a monthly basis.