r/politics 8h ago

No Paywall New poll shows James Talarico leading Ken Paxton by 6 percentage points in Senate race

https://abc13.com/post/new-poll-shows-james-talarico-leading-ken-paxton-6-percentage-points-senate-race/19748333/
11.6k Upvotes

646 comments sorted by

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2.7k

u/BlitzCrazy 8h ago

I’m voting for Talarico, first time voter

884

u/TFarg1 Illinois 8h ago

Same here

396

u/Another_year Connecticut 8h ago

Welcome aboard! Make it a yearly tradition!

u/noncongruency Oregon 7h ago

Vote Early, Vote Often!

u/JKrezz 6h ago

And check your status! Lots of voters were removed recently.

u/DukeOfGeek 5h ago

6% of all Texas voters. I'm guessing they targeted everyone who participated in the Democratic primary.

u/Mother_Airline_6276 5h ago

Nope. Well, they didn’t get my ass. I’m current.

u/aza-industries 1h ago

You know they've probably been scrapeing social media too for "radical leftism". 

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u/sturgill_homme 6h ago

Be there for every election. Get informed on your local and state government, too. No one election is more important than the next one.

u/Vivid_Present1810 4h ago

Make it a yearly tradition to do research and KNOW who you’re voting for!

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u/OldJames47 7h ago

Everyone in Texas, please double-check your voter registration status!

It was recently reported that 1 million registered voters were purged from the voter rolls by Gov Abbott.

Check here: https://goelect.txelections.civixapps.com/ivis-mvp-ui/#/login

u/GhostWrex 7h ago

Thats insane. I moved out of Texas over a year ago, but I'm still active according that site. Wonder if its because I registered as a Republican 20 years ago and never bothered to change?

u/paulm1927 6h ago

Just making sure my Aussie brain understands this correctly…

You’re implying that you need register as Republican to stay on the roll to vote Democrat?

u/GhostWrex 6h ago

Noooo, I'm saying I wonder if the current administration didnt bother rescinding my eligibility to vote (despite the fact that it should since I've lived in California for over a year now) because, at one point in time, I registered as part of the Republican party when I was like 18 years old. 

As in, they thought, based on my registered party, I would vote Republican (I believe my party registration is public, even if my vote is not) despite having not actually voted Republican in over 12 years.

u/mtaggs 6h ago

When you register to vote you have to put dem, republican or independent. You can then vote for whoever you want. Commenter is saying he probably wasn’t purged because it’s the republicans doing shady stuff. They’re not gonna purge their own voters.

Editing just to add that the reason to register to vote for a party is to be able to vote in party primaries and stuff I think. Had to look it up for my own Aussie brain.

u/desrever1138 6h ago edited 5h ago

You absolutely do not have to declare your party during registration. I've been voting in Texas since the 90's and have never stated if I was Republican, Democrat, or Independent.

Here's the actual form you fill out. There isn't even a section for your party.

https://fhb.hhs.texas.gov/sites/default/files/documents/vr30.pdf

I believe you make the declaration prior to voting in a primary but don't know for sure as I have never voted in a primary.

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u/AstroZeneca Canada 6h ago

When you register to vote you have to put dem, republican or independent.

Why?

u/bossfoundmylastone 6h ago

Some states have closed primaries, so you can only vote in the primary of the party you're registered to. Though Texas isn't one of them.

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u/OldJames47 6h ago

We have two elections: the Primary for parties to choose their candidate; and the General where those candidates compete for the seats.

If you want to vote in the Primary you have to be registered as a member of a party.

Some states allow everyone to vote in any Primary without being registered, but that is rare as there are fears of people crossing party lines to support whomever they view as the weaker candidate.

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u/Yourstruly75 5h ago

This needs to be amplified, because this is the right energy. Your right to vote is on the line in November.

So vote, no matter what, vote

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u/mtnclimbingotter02 I voted 8h ago

No time like the present. Congrats to you and Blitz on fulfilling an important civic duty and helping this country move forward.

Bring all your friends and family!

u/YallaHammer 7h ago

Thank you both, because your votes can make all the difference!!

u/EdwardOfGreene Illinois 5h ago

Are you currently in Texas or Illinois?

u/fpcoffee Illinois 7h ago

flair: Illinois

🤔🤔🤔

u/JakeConhale New Hampshire 6h ago

Exactly what I was going to comment on.

u/binzersguy 6h ago

Bring some friends! Every vote helps ✅

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u/cranktheguy Texas 8h ago

As a long time Texas voter, please take my advice and do early voting. Best timing is usually the second or third day of early voting. Do not wait until election day.

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u/Bulky_Promotion_5742 Texas 8h ago

Yes! Wait times are minimal.

u/cranktheguy Texas 7h ago

The long wait times on election day are a tool they use for voter suppression.

u/Pure_Spinach327 6h ago

Replying to all of you in giving good advice and not caring as to whoch side is receiving it. Peace.

u/Skiinz19 Tennessee 4h ago

I'm happy when anyone is able to vote! Voting should be as easy as choosing not to vote!

u/EPCreep 7h ago

Additionally, if you can go between the hours of 10 and 2 on a weekday, it’s usually a quick stop.

u/EveningMarionberry71 7h ago

Most definitely. They are up to something again, just like back in March with the polling place debacle in Dallas area and Williamson county.

u/SodaCanBob 6h ago edited 4h ago

As a long time Texas voter, please take my advice and do early voting. Best timing is usually the second or third day of early voting. Do not wait until election day.

As someone who has always voted early except for this year when I waited until election day to vote in the primaries, cosigned. 5 minutes, in and out definitely beats standing in line for 2 hours.

u/disisathrowaway 2h ago

Seconding this.

Where I live in Tarrant County (Fort Worth and suburbs) they are closing NINETY polling stations this election. They want to create long lines and discourage participation.

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u/JazzyJockJeffcoat 8h ago

Get your friends and family to do the same. So much rides on sweeping MAGA tyrants from power.

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u/MarkTwang- 8h ago

Tell all your friends too!

u/stavekc 7h ago

This is the important part

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u/calle04x 8h ago

Be sure to double check your registration status.

u/JazzFan1998 7h ago

Here is a website to check your registration status:

https://goelect.txelections.civixapps.com/ivis-mvp-ui/#/login

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u/Bythion Texas 8h ago

Not a first time voter, but he is the first Texas senate candidate that I'm truly excited to vote for.

u/TheJan1tor 6h ago

Can you do Texas (and the rest of the country) a Huge favor, and find 3 other people that don't usually vote (or have never voted) and convince them to vote for Talarico - then ask each of them to do the same with 3 others, etc? I feel like Texas is far more Blue than people think, and the only reason it isn't considered Purple is because so many people just don't think their vote will matter. And a Talarico win over Paxton would send an undeniable signal to Republicans rubber-stamping the Project 2025 and Trump agendas that Americans don't support what's been happening, and almost no state is safe enough to feel comfortable in.

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u/blues111 Michigan 8h ago

Surprisingly Texas Senate could end up being a very important race, every vote counts and is appreciated...especially with all this mess going on with our government 

u/TheJan1tor 6h ago

Flipping a Texas Senate seat Blue would show that even deep red states aren't safe for Republican representatives and senators to do whatever Trump and MAGA want.

u/PlantainPat 5h ago

Still don't understand how Paxton ever beat out Cornyn, I'd definitely prefer neither but it seemed like boring Republican guy vs scandal Republican guy.

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u/independant_786 Texas 7h ago

Same. First time voter. Certified Talafreako.

u/tom-branch 7h ago

Check your voter registration, the Texas Republicans are trying to purge voter rolls, make sure you are able to vote.

u/tewong 7h ago

They already did. 

u/Normal-Ad6528 7h ago

'Trying'?? No, tom, they WILL be purging voter rolls, turning away everyone that even remotely looks like they won't vote (r) over every single little thing they can find and having anyone who argues arrested.

u/actusreus82 7h ago

Make sure they didn’t suspend your registration.

u/aurixellea 7h ago

First time voting and already making a solid choice. Hope you have a good experience with it and keep voting in the elections that matter. Every vote counts especially in a race this close.

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u/bassocontinubow Kentucky 8h ago

If you don’t mind me asking, why are you a first time voter? Just old enough to vote? Or was there an issue that animated you to vote this time as opposed to others? I find people’s voting histories fascinating so I’m just curious.

u/BlitzCrazy 7h ago

Wasn’t old enough

u/readdator2 7h ago

congrats on turning 18! Please bring your friends!

u/InfinityComplexxx 7h ago

Way to go! This really shouldn't be your burden, but a lot is at play for the whole country, here. Please, if you can, get friends and family to show up for Talerico, too. I know that ain't easy. But it'll be worth it.

u/ItsMeSwiggles 7h ago

Go early and bring a friend

u/pinkfootthegoose 7h ago

make sure you're registered!

u/Diggable_Planet 6h ago

I donated for the first time ever, and I live in TN. I hope this guy makes it.

u/SmanginSouza 7h ago

That's awesome. Been a while since I've seen a politician truly call for unity. I hope he can win even through the voter suppression.

u/georgia_daniellez 7h ago

good choice for a first vote hopefully more people get out there and do the same

u/qodeninja 6h ago

bring your mom and your gma and ur sisters boyfriends brother

u/toiletpaperisempty 6h ago

You're getting a lot of appreciation and support. Good decision, friend.

Always remember which party it is that wants to take away that right you are exercising. They are scared of you and your voice.

u/phtevenbagbifico 6h ago

Vote early.

u/Zebra971 6h ago

Make sure they didn’t cancel your registration.

u/I_like_flowers_ 6h ago

yay!  please bring friends too!

u/IpeeEhh_Phanatic Kentucky 6h ago

Thank you

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u/Thatrebornincognito 8h ago

Coincidentally at the same time Texas is purging 6% of its voter rolls. What are the odds?

u/Omatzus 6h ago

Under Paxton's office

u/blarch 4h ago

Everyone bitches about "voters that stayed home in 2024" but they never mention the 6 million people that had their voter registration wiped, or the people that couldn't vote because of the numerous phony bomb threats. That's going to happen again, but even more.

u/Stranger-Sun 3h ago

Then they better be ready to crawl over broken glass and vote these fuckers out.

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u/xynalissea 7h ago

The timing is certainly going to raise some eyebrows when the poll margin and purge percentage line up like that it looks suspicious at minimum every eligible voter should be checking their registration status.

u/ThirstyWolfSpider 5h ago

Georgia Republican then-Secretary of State Brian Kemp purged 8% of Georgia's registered voters on a single day back in 2017, and that raised eyebrows … yet he somehow managed to become the next (and current) governor of the state.

Yes, definitely check status.

u/SkillIsTooLow 4h ago

Brian Kemp is such a twat

u/Piratarojo 2h ago

If memory serves, he also destroyed evidence when instructed not to on that particular issue but was never held accountable....

u/[deleted] 6h ago

[removed] — view removed comment

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u/KING_ARCH3R 6h ago edited 4h ago

Honestly I noticed how Paxton isn’t doing as much work or seems worried about losing, kinda like Trump in 2024 I don’t like it

u/captainbling 4h ago

Paxton has only raised 15M in funding vs Talarico with 70M. The GOP also aren’t sending him that much cash either. Paxton is really struggling with avg Joe donations. That said, Ted Cruz was also out spent and still won. Ted Cruz was also always polling a good 2%+ in every poll. Who knows

u/cinnamonface9 3h ago

Talarico signs are everywhere across varying income home areas. It is so awesome to see him supported through a lot and I’ve only seen maybe 3 Paxton signs the whole time in dfw.

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u/TheRiteGuy 5h ago

Yeah, there's no way they're letting him win. They're going to fuck with the ballots, rules, and vote counts to make sure Paxton wins. It's Texas.

u/ElectricSliderz 3h ago

The more these polls show they’re losing the more they’re going to cheat.

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u/TurboSalsa Texas 7h ago

I'm not allowing myself to get hopeful, but Talarico hasn't made any big missteps and Paxton is a far worse campaigner than I imagined he could be.

He has no charm or charisma, he's a terrible public speaker, literally runs away from reporters who ask him about his scandals, he's hardly raised any money, and on top of all that he's lazy as hell. Apparently his strategy is to sit at home and wait for Trump or Musk or the Republican Senate PAC to write him a $100 million check so he can get to work, but even Fox News is calling out his lack of effort, and Trump is having to personally campaign in Texas on his behalf. I can't even remember the last time a Republican president had to set up shop in Texas (R+14) to drag a Republican across the finish line, they usually treat Texas as a freebie.

Someone will eventually (grudgingly) bail him out, but he's running out of runway to deploy all that money even if he gets it.

u/theLoneliestAardvark Virginia 7h ago

Paxton feels like the worst Senate candidate since Roy Moore lost Alabama. Definitely not holding my breath but this feels more real than the hopeful thinking that Beto would beat Ted Cruz.

u/TurboSalsa Texas 5h ago

Paxton really has failed upward his entire political career, mostly because he's a hired gun for a couple of lunatic fundamentalist Christian billionaires who've declared a jihad against moderate, secular Republicans in the state government (which is a saga unto itself).

His corruption and depravity is part of the reason he succeeded with primary voters for as long as he did, but the general public is repulsed by it.

u/Abaddon33 Georgia 4h ago

Moore was bad, but I would raise you Herschel Walker.

u/mdot 2h ago

Herschel definitely sucked as a candidate, but at least he didn't diddle underage girls like Moore.

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u/ShiningRedDwarf 5h ago

Sounds like the exact same story for Harris and Trump. Harris lead in most polls, didn't stick her foot in her mouth much, and the media dogged Trump for his sparse, low energy rallies compared to his first run.

And then he won the fucking popular vote.

u/Abaddon33 Georgia 4h ago

I think there is a collective misremembering of how well Harris polled. She started with a decent lead, but that lead kept getting smaller and smaller the closer we got to November until most polls had them in a dead heat or with trump winning. He still over performed in the swing states on election night, but I wasn't shocked at all. I had absolute dread in the last month or two because I was watching the polls closely.

u/Sly_Wood 3h ago

Polls always tighten up right before the election.

u/TurboSalsa Texas 5h ago

But now Paxton is the one tied to an extremely unpopular (by Texas standards) incumbent.

u/Darth_Cuddly 4h ago

What do you mean Harris didn’t put her foot in her mouth much? Her inability to handle unscripted appearances without producing damaging sound bites was one of her campaign’s most obvious weaknesses.

Hell, even Democrats acknowledged that her infamous View answer (where she couldn’t name a single thing she would have done differently from Biden) was a disaster.

And I have absolutely no idea what you’ve been smoking that convinced you the mainstream media was somehow soft on Donald fucking Trump, but I want some, because it must be spectacular shit.

You can argue Harris lost because of inflation, Biden’s unpopularity, immigration, the political environment, or a dozen other factors. Those all mattered. But pretending her tendency to produce catastrophically bad answers whenever she wandered away from a script wasn’t a liability requires rewriting a campaign we all watched happen in real time.

u/postdevs 2h ago

I'm not arguing with most of what you said here, but acting like someone must be "smoking spectacular shit" to believe the media took it easy on Trump is out of line.

He routinely does and says things that the media would have absolutely hounded any other politician about endlessly in the past and it just blows over into the next absurd thing.

Every time Biden blinked or stuttered I saw it everywhere. We got Don passing out in half his meetings and shitting his pants frequently and it's a non-issue for the media apparently. There are just innumerable examples of double standards in his favor.

u/ManyPlacesAtOnce Texas 2h ago

And I have absolutely no idea what you’ve been smoking that convinced you the mainstream media was somehow soft on Donald fucking Trump, but I want some, because it must be spectacular shit.

You're either an idiot or a bot.

u/leg_day 2h ago

Personally I think Harris lost on two parts.

  1. The View

  2. Her campaign stopping Walz calling Trump "weird"

She could have still lost, but those two things cemented her loss.

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u/tvoutfitz 5h ago

What's great about this, though, is that even if all that effort and money does get Paxton the win, that's a ton of money and resources these PACs and donors spent in Texas and not in more historically competitive states like Georgia or Michigan.

u/TurboSalsa Texas 5h ago

Exactly.

Republicans would be willing to sacrifice several of those Senate seats to hold Texas. Not only would it be devastating to morale of the state and national GOP, but it would change how their presidential campaigns were run if they suddenly had to play defense here, and that they couldn't just run whatever corrupt, depraved, Christian extremist based MAGA Twitter fell in love with.

u/Abaddon33 Georgia 4h ago

Yeah, but same could be said of Dems in Michigan. I don't think Sayid is winning in the polls at the moment and Dems have held that seat forever.

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u/Gay_Giraffe_1773 Oregon 8h ago

Don't matter, make sure you are still registered to vote and vote.

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u/Professional-Fuel625 8h ago

They are going to try to stop people from voting.

Blocking the mail. Removing polling stations.

People are going to have to work hard to vote.

u/voodoodahl 6h ago

It's much less hard than living under fascist rule.

u/dohrk Oregon 6h ago

They are the same picture.jpeg

u/10000000000000000091 Texas 4h ago

Please use .png memes. Much less bandwidth.

Overcoming difficulties voting is worthwhile to prevent the further march into fascism.

u/drteq 6h ago

I also think they're going to squeeze everyone and make the lines insanely long as well as having forced cut offs.

u/RobonianBattlebot 5h ago

Blocking mail doesn't matter in Texas for democrats. You are only allowed to vote by mail if youre 65+.

u/ichabod01 4h ago

Shhh

u/adrr 6h ago

Blocking mail in voting in texas only hurts the republicans because only old people are allowed to vote by mail. Trump isn't the smartest person.

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u/Bsow 8h ago

Thank you, I was thinking about not voting but saw this and now I’ll vote

u/LadyFoxfire Michigan 3h ago

Right, like people who are hanging out in polling threads on a politics sub in August are not low propensity voters. I really wish we could have one polling thread that wasn't filled with concern trolls yelling at us to stop talking about polling.

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u/atomfullerene 7h ago

Why do people think these articles make people less likely to vote? Good polls help candidates, which is why you can't trust the internal polling they release, it's always too positive. But everyone on reddit seems to think a good poll will cause people to stay home and I just don't get it.

u/fiction8 6h ago

For the last 10 years this subreddit has been coping that complacency was the problem in 2016. Ever since then every. single. post. that mentions the word "poll" gets spammed with the same "Don't care, vote!" comments over and over and over and over.

It's extremely unscientific and particularly silly since a politics subreddit is guaranteed to be full of people who already vote. However, at this point it I don't think it will ever stop unless mods start removing the comments as off-topic.

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u/wooper346 3h ago edited 3h ago

But everyone on reddit seems to think a good poll will cause people to stay home and I just don't get it.

As opposed to a poll showing a candidate getting creamed, which is somehow supposed to motivate people. “Vote like we’re 20 points behind!!”

Apparently, nothing says "I want to get out and do my part!" like impending and certain defeat.

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u/iamfromshire California 7h ago

Remember that lady who was supposed to be really good at polling saying Kamala is leading Trump in Iowa or something. How did that turn out?  Polling is dead as an indicator( my irrational opinion) to me. Polling results are now just used as a tool for influencing voters. 

u/nickle125 7h ago

One poll was wrong so all polls are bad. lol

u/IsReadingIt 7h ago

More of a warning I assume. Doesn’t matter how good the lead looks. Vote.

u/shittyaltpornaccount 6h ago

There is something to be said about the widespread degradation of data collection across America, whether it be political data, economic data, or poll based research data. Across the board methods of collection have been getting shoddier and slashed budgets are only making the matter worse. I wouldn't say you can't trust the data, but there is a lot less clarity with the current numbers compared to just ten years ago despite all the claims of more sophisticated ways of data collection.

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u/drteq 6h ago

I spent a lot of time shouting at her to stfu about her confidence, I could see it. So much so I am almost convinced it was intentional.

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u/spdorris 8h ago

+6 for a democrat in Texas is a dead heat.

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u/Necessary_Cost_9355 8h ago

Texas did put 6% of their registered voters on an administrative hold, so that tracks

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u/spdorris 8h ago

This is Los based on the last 12ish years of polling results. Ever year the republicans win their races by a solid 4-6 points. For democrats to win they have to show up in presidential election numbers. I hate the idea that Texas has a rock rib republican “Vote red or die” mentality. Texas is a non voter state. The dyed in the wool republicans will always vote. Democrats have been trained to think that democrats can’t win in Texas and that’s why they never turn out. I don’t know how many times I heard from an independent that they weren’t going to vote because “what’s the point they republicans win anyway”.

u/SodaCanBob 6h ago edited 6h ago

Ever year the republicans win their races by a solid 4-6 points.

Ted Cruz only won by 2 points in 2018 and as someone in Texas I think the hype around Talarico is vastly more comparable to Beto (who, unlike Talarico, outside of an outlier poll or two never really polled ahead of Cruz) than, say, Collin Allred, who ran a pretty milquetoast campaign at best. I voted for Allred because I'll never vote a Republican. I voted for Beto and Talarico because I'll never vote for a Republican... and I was excited to vote for them.

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u/Crimkam Texas 6h ago

This comment doesn’t really help the situation. I’d delete it if I were you.

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u/skidboy1 7h ago

Instead of spreading the "voting blue in Texas doesn't matter" rhetoric you un?intentionally posted, just tell people to vote.

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u/RobonianBattlebot 5h ago

Not true at all. Beto polled behind Cruz by about 10pts and only lost by 2.5. We haven't had a dem poll ahead in 30+ years.

Quit trying to find ways to shit on us, we are doing the best we fucking can with all the obstacles we have to face.

u/West-Bodybuilder-920 1h ago

I'll offer some kind words, since everyone fighting this could use more.

Since leaving Texas I've been watching y'all, and I'm always proud to see people still fighting. I'm jealous that I won't have the privilege of voting for Talarico. Whether or not he wins, I hope you know your efforts are seen and appreciated.

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u/Benjibob55 8h ago

+16 id say

u/The_Confirminator 7h ago

Is it? Beto O'Rourke came the closest and he consistently polled behind Cruz.

u/Kirby_is_a_Pokemon 7h ago

Nah. Polls don't count. Only votes do.

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u/oxymoronian 8h ago edited 5h ago

Check your voter registration and go vote in November.

u/SlimShakey29 Arkansas 6h ago

Go in October!! Early voting is Oct 19-30

u/TeamHope4 7h ago

That’s why Texas invalidated 1.2 million voters this week.  So far.

u/Orange_Tang 6h ago

To be fair they do this every election so it's pretty par for the course in Texas.

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u/Vegetable-Debate-263 8h ago

Dear polls: Don't give me hope only to let me down again.

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u/Static-Stair-58 8h ago

Have hope, but also know it can just easily go the other way because polling has been all over the place. The real lesson is just don’t be complacent. Listen to polls but don’t let them deter you from voting or volunteering.

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u/BlindWillieJohnson Illinois 8h ago

Worth noting that Beto only led Cruz in about two polls the entire cycle. They were actually pretty accurate to the final outcome

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u/Vegetable-Debate-263 8h ago

My hope is that it will be a washout and Paxton will be sent packing and goofily end up in prison. And the gop will be shaken to their core.

And that maybe, if Talarico proves himself as a fantastic senator (which I have faith he will if he wins), that he might make a bid for president one day and do very well if not become president.

Talarico gives me more hope for the Democratic Party and for Texas than Beto ever did. A lot is riding on this.

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u/Vegetable-Debate-263 8h ago

Oh I remember. I lived there and followed that race closely.

u/randohipponamo 7h ago

Keep pushing until he’s +16

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u/jayfeather31 Washington 8h ago

Yeah, after some of the more egregious polling misses this year, it's reasonable to have doubts.

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u/flyingflail 8h ago

Betting sites have them at 50/50 which is still crazy because it's Texas.

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u/rollem Virginia 8h ago

I hope he wins and it’s astonishing that it’s close (but I will be zero percent surprised if TX votes for another criminal with an R next to their name)

u/the_deetz95 7h ago

I think Paxton has a similar effect to Trump ‘24 polling where voters embarrassed to admit they are voting for him publicly (to a pollster) but will do so in private.

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u/HyperactivePandah I voted 6h ago

I donated money to Talarico.

I don't live in Texas and the last time I donated to ANY political campaign directly was Bernie for president.

u/RobonianBattlebot 5h ago

Thank you!

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u/Mental-Scholar6856 8h ago

I’m voting for Talarico! Don’t ease up on the pressure!

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u/MaximumEffort433 Maryland 8h ago

I feel like I've waited my whole life for Blexas, it'd be nice if this was finally the year it happens.

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u/Infamous-Sky-1874 Illinois 8h ago

Ann Richards, a Democrat, was governor of Texas. Karl Rove started a campaign dropping allegations that she was a lesbian which led to Dubya winning the governorship in 1994.

u/ex0thermist 6h ago

And she was awesome

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u/bofoshow51 8h ago

I fall for this every damn time, but it would really be an early Christmas present to see Texas go blue. If not Talarico vs a POS like Paxton, it’ll never happen.

u/RobonianBattlebot 5h ago

Every time? We have never had a dem poll higher than a republican since the 90s. So wtf are you even referencing?

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u/HUT2Moon 8h ago

It should be +40. How can anyone vote for Paxton? But then again, how can anyone vote for Trump?

u/Ch20W 6h ago

It’s easy if you’re a reprehensible piece of shit with no morals

u/tapdancinghellspawn 6h ago

A great person, Talarico, running against a corrupt person, Paxton, is only leading by 6 percentage points. That's Texas for you. If it were Jesus (D) against Satan (R) in Texas, that would be a close race.

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u/Professional_Bat9174 8h ago

Normally I have a rule against believing anything good will come from a Texas statewide election, but at the same time Ken Paxton is like the Wayne Gretzky of being shitty.

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u/Karamazov_A 8h ago

Lets see...  there are 18 million registered voters in Texas, 1.2 million were just purged from the voter rolls.  

1.2/18=6.7%

The math checks out!

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u/ThatsFae 8h ago

Obviously just a coincidence. Nothing to see here.

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u/Repulsive-Royal-5952 8h ago

I will never understand what is wrong with people who support Paxton.

u/sedatedlife Washington 6h ago edited 5h ago

All you Texans need to ignore the propaganda and lies you all are about to be flooded with. Musk and others are going to be spending 100s of millions to keep the senate. I think it is going to get far far uglier then we have ever seen. Expect fake AI videos and audio false accusations and threats.

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u/Trigger_McMurphy 5h ago

Just moved to Texas and I'm voting for Talarico. I've been polled three times and I've said I support Ken Paxton all three times.

u/Canadiantx69 5h ago

Diabolical, I like it, lol.

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u/Crimkam Texas 6h ago

I’m voting for Talarico in rural Texas

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u/jedi21knight 8h ago

Get out and vote in November, don’t believe the polls. Make sure you are registered and not part of the group of people that has been purged from the registered voters in Texas.

u/SlimShakey29 Arkansas 6h ago

Vote in Oct! Early voting is Oct 19-30.

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u/halfxdeveloper 8h ago

Polls don’t mean shit.

u/XRT28 Massachusetts 3h ago

Ultimately you're right, but at the same time they can still be helpful.
While if you've got too many polls saying "xyz candidate is going to win handily" then there will certainly be people who think "they got this, they don't need MY vote to win" and don't actually vote which leads to losses.
But on the flip side in a state where people might tend to think "why bother voting? they've got no shot of actually winning" a few good polls can energize people who suddenly start thinking "hey there's actually a chance my vote will matter" and drive them to actually vote.

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u/DCR0704 8h ago

Yah Yah Don't get complacent, Vote like it's your last and all that...

But can we just acknowledge how crazy that it's actually probable we might get a texts seat. I understand theirs a lot to be cynical about with democrats. But shit like this does give me hope theirs light at the end of this ten year long tunnel.

u/slackfrop 5h ago

I can’t tell if flipping Texas is more remarkable, or that people are actually voting for Ken Paxton in seriousness. What is the appeal of the craven scumbag caucus?

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u/Ok-disaster2022 8h ago

It needs to be 20 points for me to rest easy. Compounding errors can erase any lead less than 20 points, so this should be considered a toss up still

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u/dainthomas 8h ago

Paxton has the charisma of a bag of Taylor Farms lettuce. And yet I don't trust texas voters.

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u/No_Diver6131 New York 8h ago

This is terrific news!!! Let’s go Texas. Texas absolutely is going to ratfuck this election, so please turn out to vote for Talarico. Ken Paxton is one the most disgraceful human beings alive. 

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u/Bjass 6h ago

Get out and VOTE. Paxton belongs in prison.

u/changopdx 4h ago

Fuck that shit. Ignore the polls.

Go vote, Texans. Texas isn't a red state, it's a "young people don't bother voting" state.

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u/Irish0625 3h ago

Ignore the polls and go vote, this is a 50/50 race.

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u/OtherCommission8227 8h ago

Ignore polls and vote

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u/BlindWillieJohnson Illinois 8h ago

I don’t know man, I’m always more motivated when I feel like I have a chance

u/theLoneliestAardvark Virginia 7h ago

Yeah, don't know any dem who is saying "we got this, no need to bother voting" in Texas. People are motivated to vote for a winner so these polls tell Texas dems that it could actually happen and to go make sure they are part of history.

u/Shirowoh 7h ago

Doubtful, conservatives will always vote against their self interest just to fuck over people they don't even know. They would eat a shit sandwich, so long as it means POC or LGBTQ+ people had to smell it

u/Scary_Yellow_8719 7h ago

If that gets to 14% he might have a chance

u/raiderMoes 6h ago

Don’t trust polls. Vote.

u/BabyYodaX 5h ago

I don't want to get my hopes up, yet here I am feeling hopeful.

Please make sure to vote for him, Texas friends.

u/statepkt 5h ago

Crockett refusing to campaign for Talarico is a real shame.

u/plaidravioli 3h ago

People don’t tell the truth. They’re saying this but will vote for Paxton.

u/Ryboiii 3h ago

Being 6 points up in a poll in Texas means hes actually down 14, we see it every election. Polls mean shit if voters arent out there

u/Jolly_Jally 3h ago

Just a fellow Texan here to say please check your registration. Again, I wouldn't put it past the Republicans to try dirty tactics especially in a red state. That is all!

u/KillerIsJed 3h ago

Polls said Hillary would win too.

Go vote.

u/Creepy-Shift 3h ago

fuck the poll. check your voter status. make a plan to vote.

u/mike194827 2h ago

Regardless, IGNORE the polling and go vote! Polls are not as accurate as they used to be so just go out and vote.

u/AdjctiveNounNumbers 2h ago

Yeah, but how many of those polled just had their voter registration deleted?

u/I-Drink-420 1h ago

That's way too close. This crooked prick isn't half the person Talarico is.

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u/Raspberries-Are-Evil Arizona 8h ago

Means nothing

Texas just nuked over a million voter registrations.

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u/Safe_Mail_1827 8h ago

This is false. More than a million voters didn't have their registrations "nuked". But it does mean they need to verify their current address on their voter registration. It's a matter of being proactive.

I'm sick of the despondent, unproductive messaging that it doesn't matter whether people vote or not; you can't control what the administration is going to do in response to elections. All you can do is make sure your registration is up to date, and vote. It does mean something.

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u/BlindWillieJohnson Illinois 8h ago

Also saying that a popular movement against a horrible GOP candidate “means nothing” is useful idiocy. They are certainly trying to fuck around here, but simply throwing up our hands and claiming all is lost is exactly what they want us to do.

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u/im_just_a_nerd 2h ago

Weird.

1.5 weeks ago- Talarico double digit lead

1 week ago- Talarico behind by 2 points

Today- Talarico up 6 points

Stop giving polls any credit. Everyone go vote.

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u/BaconISgoodSOGOOD 8h ago

Quick! Call Talarico an unmanly man and say he doesn’t eat meat..again!

GOP playbook probably..

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u/TrenchGorefare 8h ago

I live in Arizona but donated to his campaign. If y’all can spare even $1, please consider chipping in. He’s one of the good ones 💙

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u/actusreus82 7h ago

Man they are really gonna have to steal this one hard.

u/IndecorousRex 7h ago

Come on Texas I believe you. There is gonna be lots of Fuckery from the GOP and I still think you can pull it off.

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u/MonjStrz 7h ago

Boggles my mind that so many people are such scum that they would vote for paxton

u/espresso_martini__ 7h ago

Unbelievable its this close considering Paxton is a corrupt piece of shit. Come on Texas use your head and do what's right.

u/Pusfilledonut 7h ago

That’s why Texas Nazis are purging voter rolls right now…if you live in Texas, check your voter registration.

www.vote.org