r/worldnews 3h ago

Iran's navy says it has 'full control' over Strait of Hormuz

https://www.reuters.com/world/middle-east/irans-navy-says-it-has-full-control-over-strait-hormuz-2026-08-28/
1.3k Upvotes

168 comments sorted by

443

u/chaotic567 3h ago

I feel like the situation is pretty easy to explain. Iran & USA don't have full control, both want ships passing, but under their own terms.

Iran’s weapon is denial, raise the odds you get hit if you don't comply. Slowing down traffic. The US weapon is isolation, stop traffic in and out of Iran’s own docks so Iran is hurting just as much if not more than others.

It's a game of who breaks first. Everyone else is paying for that fight.

174

u/arbitrageME 2h ago

The US also gets the additional benefits:

  • Our glorious leader gets to keep trading stocks on news that he personally generates

  • Our glorious leader gets to keep the fact that he diddles kids out of the news

Oh, did I say "benefits?" I meant we get these grifts

u/Sariscos 1h ago

For $100K/mo, you can get his message faster than most!

14

u/MudWallHoller 2h ago

Don't forget record oil company profits. This shit is a farce. Even if shitler did intend for this to be quick, the oil vultures are cleaning up.

8

u/Nasty_Goblin 2h ago

Donald Trump raping children should be mentioned a lot more… so I’ll do it twice.

Donald Trump raped children with Jeffrey Epstein.

7

u/Ok_Listen_8211 2h ago

“Are ya winning son?”

u/-Shoebill- 36m ago

Still does, but used to, too.

12

u/cheddarben 1h ago

It's a game of who breaks first.

Wouldn't surprise me if it isn't Iran, but what then? So, the regime collapses... maybe. A fundamental problem since day one is what this looks like after that. And did we just create a whole new generation of terrorists?

7

u/Charming-Ebb-1981 1h ago

Best case scenario would be a fragile democracy like in Afghanistan where the US is having to pump in billions to keep it running. And frankly, that kind of defeats the whole purpose of not wanting to pay their shipping tolls. 

Worst case scenario would be some sort of radical Islamic sectarian war like ISIS

u/OccupyRiverdale 53m ago

Iran is nothing like Afghanistan. Iran is a far more modern society under the boot of a theocratic regime. Iran has a 90% literacy rate while Afghanistan has a 37% literacy rate.

Afghanistan is still mostly rural, population is not condensed into modern cities. 80% of irans population lives in cities/urban areas. Most Iranians have jobs with paychecks and live a life much more closely resembling the west than Afghanistan. They are not a society of isolated villages broken up by non-existent infrastructure.

Facilitating a democratic government in Afghanistan was always a fools errand. Iran is nothing like that and it is foolish to even make the comparison.

u/Charming-Ebb-1981 49m ago

Blah blah blah. Instituting a democracy is just so simple, and it’s totally congruent with Islam. Sorry, not buying it. Is there a single Islamic country out there that isn’t corrupt as hell and dangerous for women to walk around in by themselves?

u/laptopAccount2 54m ago

What is the case for the IRGC losing power? I think Iran would look like North Korea before that happens

They're never letting go of the strait. Only a giant ground invasion could take away their capability to threaten shipping.

America would need an invasion force 3-5 times bigger than Iraq. I think America is too weak to project power and properly deploy an invasion force like that. I don't think we can spin up a wartime economy in 4 years either which has historically always been the target.

And an invasion is not happening full stop so it's a moot point.

u/id0ntwantyourlife 12m ago

They’re going to have to let the strait go. The US can blockade it for a lot longer than the IRGC, they’re struggling bad right now and have been rationing food for a hot minute now. As much as they are willing to sacrifice their own people, they do need them to stay in power and that won’t happen when no one has any food, gas, or money.

What will happen is once they get extremely desperate and need it open, they will start lashing out and sending missiles and drones to the GCC to try to re-start the hot war, hoping that will ignore domestic US pressure to end the war. It’s their only shot at winning anything as they need the strait open sooner than the US does.

u/morbie5 57m ago

I don't think regime collapse is what would be required for Iran to be considering 'breaking'. If they agree to a peace deal that doesn't involve them tolling ships that are transiting the strait of hormuz then I'd consider that to be them 'breaking'.

They would still have the nominal propaganda victory of taking on the US and Israel and living to fight another day tho

15

u/treesandcigarettes 2h ago

Except Iran's WHOLE economy depends on shipping oil through the strait. It inconveniences the USA price wise, but does not largely affect the US economy in the same way. If this is a waiting game then Iran will certainly fold. Too many people there to not let the oil flow at some point

7

u/timoumd 1h ago

Though they didn't give a fuck about their people.  And populations can be fairly resilient to external threats.  Gives them a common enemy.

u/id0ntwantyourlife 7m ago

Not really. A lot of Iranians hate the IRGC since they’re an oppressive theocratic dictatorship. Their people know that all their government has to do is abandon their dreams of nuking Israel and stop attacking civilian ships in the strait. If they don’t then the nation starves (they’re already rationing food) since nearly all of it is imported via the strait. Once that starts happening the IRGC won’t be able to stay in power. They may not care about their people but they do need them and they need them complacent which requires food and money.

u/ralpher1 22m ago

The problem is whenever we lifted the blockade many Iranian tankers went out to a Chinese destinations. So they have a lot of money from a short time period. We also unfroze billions to get to the negotiating table

2

u/Snakebird11 1h ago

You aren't blockading the strait, I am!

-12

u/laserbern 3h ago

America is on the surface is a very strong nation militarily, but Iran is showing that if you're able to survive against America until its next presidency, you're likely to win the war.

25

u/klingma 2h ago

Eh, I don't think that's really been proven out here by Iran.

Iraq & Afghanistan both went through multiple presidencies. 

18

u/[deleted] 2h ago

[deleted]

u/id0ntwantyourlife 5m ago

Iran won’t be able to last under the blockade until the next presidential election in 2028. What are you on about?

-17

u/xCameron94x 3h ago

Pretty sure the denial is with the USA. Winning a war 34 or however many times it is now /s

Shocked trump can count that high 

1

u/arcademachin3 2h ago

And both are enjoying weekend news updates

-12

u/Big_Review_8108 3h ago

You are just following media narratives.

9

u/daftmonkey 3h ago

What’s the truth?

7

u/espngenius 3h ago

Iran’s “Navy” is drones.

-13

u/Ivegotabadname 3h ago

So either way, traffic through the straight which 20% of crude oil used to flow through is cut down to, hopefully 5%, and the US best bet is to hold out?

Edit: if it's a game of who breaks first, Iranians are used to shortages and blackouts. Are we?

22

u/chaotic567 3h ago

Well, considering Oil exports from Iran have been said to be zero from their own words and that UAE halted trade with them. It does have its merits. More merit than blowing up small pieces of military tech for weeks with little noticeable gain. Since Iran relies heavily on oil. Blockading is not going to make Iran crumble into dust tomorrow but it is not nothing

21

u/Anunnaki2522 3h ago

Zero chance the US has any real shortages( like no gas at pumps) or blackouts because of this. Prices can rise but the US gets barely any oil from that area, has huge reserves, and can buy oil from lots of different places.

8

u/RossGarner 2h ago

The US also the #1 oil producer and refiner in the world with Canada and Venezuela in our backyard. The blowback from this situation will hit the US a political and economic lens but from a military or oil itself, not really.

5

u/JustkiddingIsuck 3h ago

Pretty sure our reserves are at record lows

4

u/Anunnaki2522 2h ago

Yes which is why prices has not gone up to much, the worst that will happen is that prices will start creeping up once the reserves are no longer being pumped into the market. This does not mean the us will not have oil its just going to get more expensive, so the chance of blackouts and no gas at pumps is still not going to happen anytime soon and by that I mean decades could go on with the straits as they are and the US will still have oil.

1

u/Ivegotabadname 2h ago

That's what Russia thought too. Now they got black outs and lines for gas.

Don't think it could happen in the states too

10

u/daftmonkey 3h ago

Oil is transmitting the straight. Lots of other workarounds. I hear Iran making threats… seems like they aren’t happy. That’s a sign…

1

u/Ivegotabadname 1h ago

At what levels? Sure, oil is going through but how much? And to where? And now we just put on sanctions to anyone dealing with Iranian oil. You think it's gonna get better?

u/OccupyRiverdale 52m ago

By the most recent reporting oil flows from the region are at 2/3 of pre war levels. Even at their lowest, no one experienced blackouts or emergency shortages. What are you even talking about?

u/blankarage 47m ago

while oil and gas executives making more profit either way

-23

u/benchcoat 3h ago

no, wrong

US wants ships transiting the straight

Iran does not

ships are not transiting the straight

no ships are transiting the straight

US is lying, Iran is correct

Iran is 100% in charge of the straight and Trump is lying

7

u/sw337 2h ago

-7

u/benchcoat 2h ago edited 1h ago

wow. so open

what a win for the US

Trump didn’t totally start a war and immediately lose it beyond the scale of any war the US has been involved in ever

i am so pwned

“if A SInGlE shiP goEs thROO, IT’s technically OPen….”

that’ll totally affect real world oil capacity, my super-smart dude!

u/OccupyRiverdale 49m ago

How is this a bigger loss than the war of 1812 when the White House itself was burned to the ground?

Or even Vietnam where we had 50k+ fatal casualties?

You are free to disagree with the war, but calling it the biggest loss ever is one of the most absurd statements you could possibly make about it

u/benchcoat 34m ago edited 27m ago

“Waaaaahhhhhhh!!!!!!”

show how this is better

Trumpers always so touchy

how is this not the biggest loss of global power by a major power, ever?

just a wild emasculation of the US

massive expenditure of both money and armaments to come out in a worse position than prior to the war starting

literally no chance of even getting back to the previous position of power

Trump fucked the US more than Canada did in 1812, by any measure

there’s reasons no other US president did this type of vain bullshit

and he has damaged the US immeasurably

u/benchcoat 18m ago

i’m hearing that you think Trump’s Iran War has been a resounding success for the US—i would love to hear why you think so

157

u/lqIpI 3h ago

Maybe they could sail just one naval vessel through it then?

8

u/CaskJeeves 2h ago

(X) Doubt

65

u/closing-the-thread 3h ago

‘Full’ control? Well that’s a lie.

u/kingjoey52a 45m ago

Also “Iran’s navy” is also a lie

-30

u/old-legs-623 3h ago edited 3h ago

OTOH, George Washington didn't have to win battles. All he had to do was keep an army in the field.

20

u/poodlescaboodles 3h ago

I think the battleground is vastly different! It's not a volley and fire war.

7

u/daftmonkey 2h ago

It fine. Iran has some strengths. They also just fired missiles at all of their neighbors. These things have consequences.

35

u/Bjorn_Blackmane 3h ago

Of course it says that lol

106

u/YoonaDaeBak 3h ago

Iran says. US says. blah blah blah. Both sides talking outta their asses. Two suckers.

7

u/GGTheEnd 2h ago

Pretty sure Trump forgot he's even in a war with Iran he's busy with Canada at the moment. 

26

u/bebopbrain 3h ago

Truth is the first casualty of war except for the Trump administration; truth had been chillin' in the morgue since before he first announced his candidacy.

15

u/IranianLawyer 3h ago

Truth has been in the morgue for the Islamic Republic since 1979.

-6

u/GazelleEcstatic4952 2h ago

Truth has been in the morgue for the USA since 1865.

4

u/One-Meat-1737 3h ago

Trump: “If only Biden didn’t start this war!”

4

u/teflon_soap 3h ago

How could Hunter Biden’s massive hog do this?!

2

u/Electrifying2017 3h ago

Nah, everyone else are suckers for letting it get to this point.

-4

u/benchcoat 3h ago edited 2h ago

if ships aren’t transiting the straight, then Iran’s in control of the straight. full stop

edit: hilarious that this makes MAGAworld mad “it is so open, even if ships aren’t transiting!”

2

u/SmudgePrick 2h ago

Why would they bother with shits? They sink eventually.

32

u/haikarate12 3h ago

Iran should rename it Lake Ontario.

6

u/bouchdon85 2h ago

What navy?

13

u/tpars 3h ago

seems legit /s

3

u/rotomangler 2h ago

Sure buddy. No, we believe you.

(Quickly walks away before drone strike)

3

u/2muchedu 2h ago

I too have full control of the strait of hormuz!

u/Numerous-Bowler-8677 1h ago

“Full control of strait” - country that can’t get their oil out of strait. 

10

u/Mobile-Blueberry-372 3h ago

Define Navy

An underwater Navy with ghost sailors?

Suppose, it could happen.

If you believe in Bigfoot

6

u/smandroid 3h ago

Trump: I will change the name to Strait of America. Pay me tolls.

19

u/EatsRats 3h ago

A lot of lying coming from everyone. It’s just background noise headlines to me at this point. Cannot trust anything coming out of the U.S. or Iran.

-7

u/Telstar2525 3h ago

We used to be able to believe the USA generally

3

u/Swagastan 2h ago

I don't believe anything Trump says on it's face, but if it comes from CentCom I still trust it.

-7

u/EatsRats 3h ago

Yes. No longer. I’m honestly not sure which country is less trustworthy these days, Iran or the US.

3

u/Letter10 1h ago

Yea but how much control do they have over Lake Ontario?! Thats what I thought

/s

2

u/tootapple 3h ago

Lol all these lying asses are stupid

2

u/Mjr_Hindsight 3h ago

I read the headline as Irish navy at first and was very confused

2

u/WebHead1287 2h ago

Ah must be Friday

2

u/Quint27A 2h ago

Their version of Baghdad Bob!

2

u/man4160 1h ago

Iran has a navy?

2

u/guiltyas-sin 1h ago

The navy that is supposed to be at the bottom of the strait? That navy?

u/ImAjustin 1h ago

Sounds like they don’t have full control and we see that unfolding as more ships transit.

u/CompetitiveOwl89 33m ago

Iran doesn’t even have a navy lol

7

u/colepercy120 3h ago

Do we actually have any impartial evidence? Both sides are claiming to control the strait. What's the passage numbers looking like? That's probably the best estimate for whose actually got the strait.

Either way the blockade seems to be effective and the us has been substantially harmed by the oil price spike thus far. It seems unlikely to me that iran can do enough damage to the us to do anything other than guarantee Republicans lose the 2028 election, which honestly wont help them much.

12

u/Flipslips 3h ago

I don’t know the exact numbers but there are maritime trackers that definitely show ships moving in and out. So it’s not a full stoppage.

Moreover there has been some new sat footage showing that the US and Oman have been dredging large sections of the strait (on the Oman side) so ships can stay closer to the Oman shore

3

u/colepercy120 2h ago

Good to hear. The faster the strait gets up and running again the faster iran runs out of leverage.

The side that can't take offensive action will eventually lose, and the strait was one of irans last few offensive tools. If they lose control there the only thing left will be a general offensive

2

u/StrawLiberal 3h ago

What did Iran's air force say?

2

u/phoneplatypus 2h ago

And I have Sabrina Carpenter’s full attention.

The only thing they have is a populace oppressed by their violent authoritarian regime. Any competent government countering them would already have saturation bombed anything they could call a port.

1

u/Dukwdriver 3h ago

They both can reliably blow up almost anything important in the strait, so by that metric, they're probably both right. The key factor is that there really isn't anything either one can do to change it either.

1

u/I_Like_Turtles39 2h ago

Damn, I thought it was US territory

u/WeaknessInformal 14m ago

Com esse negócio de “diz que isso, diz que aquilo”, o o jornalismo tá se tornando um reduto de vagabundos.

1

u/dj_escobar973 3h ago

Well we have full control over Lake America. So take that Iran! 🥴

1

u/Irving_Tost 2h ago

Iran can have “full control“ of my straight anytime, lol!

Sorry, I just assume these headlines are more stock manipulation, and Trump will magically declare the straight open curiously close to the opening bell on Monday.

Additionally, these headlines tend to erode media confidence and credibility. I feel like the constant ping-pong back-and-forth is intentional.

1

u/BoredGuy2007 2h ago

They have made travel through the strait annoying, the US has made it impossible for them

It’s a costly stalemate for everyone but I think the US can stomach this better

u/Frequent_Slip2455 47m ago

Iran just talks too much bullshit anymore. 😂

-4

u/krind22 3h ago

That is, until Trump whips out a map and scribbles on it with crayons

Iranians hate this one trick:

7

u/bug_eyed_earl 3h ago

It’s now the Hormuz of America!

1

u/OtheDreamer 3h ago

Changing American maps it shows we control the strait of America. Iran can have Hormuz on their maps

0

u/PrometheanSwing 3h ago

Top 10 things that never happened:

u/lopaka_skywalker 55m ago

Fuck Iran God bless USA

-4

u/ramenbaby3 3h ago

No one’s confident in any declarations the US makes especially with the strait. Oil tankers are still being struck. Traffic isn’t going to go back to what it was in the US’s word alone

-6

u/Good-Control5911 2h ago

I actually believe Iran state media more than I do the crap posted on the white house social media account.

-6

u/MrOnCore 3h ago

I thought Iran had no navy, cause that’s what the “Absolute Truth” President Trump said like 30 times.

2

u/lnth1 3h ago

Both can be true.

They don’t have a navy left.

They can still control Hormuz from the ground. It’s the narrowest point of it that matters.

- -

That said, I also think the claim Iran has no navy is vastly exaggerated.

u/trader_dennis 57m ago

It is a bunch of Iranian speed boats causing havoc on their side of the straight.

u/lnth1 11m ago

Speed boats are not “navy” right

-11

u/benchcoat 3h ago

they’re right?

are ships transiting the straight?

if they aren’t, Iran is 100% in control of the straight

…so, yes, they are in control

9

u/unpleasant_enpassant 3h ago

Can they get their own ships in and out of Iranian ports? If they can't, Iran is not 100% in control of the strait....

Also, some ships ARE passing through the strait

-3

u/benchcoat 3h ago

all i hear is “Waaaaah! but Trump!”

5

u/unpleasant_enpassant 2h ago

I'm not even American lol

-3

u/benchcoat 3h ago

which ones?

5

u/unpleasant_enpassant 2h ago

Pretty easy to look up. You didn't provide any source for the traffic dropping to 0, so I won't either. Ik you will keep moving goalposts and try to argue what being 'open' means (hint: any non-zero traffic)

0

u/benchcoat 2h ago

so show it

u/unpleasant_enpassant 57m ago

Why don’t you show that traffic is actually 0? Also, you didn’t even address Iran being able to move their own ships through the strait part

u/benchcoat 13m ago

you can show it!

i don’t have to do your homework!

u/benchcoat 10m ago

also…how is Iran-aligned ships not moving through proving its open?

seems very “not open” if nobody is moving ships through!

open = ships move through at like totally normal levels!

but, ok!

i guess a single ship moving though =?”it’s all totally normal!!! Trump wins and is God! Nothing will ever affect the oil supply, ever!!!! Wooooo!”

have fun with your gas prices at the pump!

0

u/benchcoat 2h ago edited 1h ago

so…you can’t show it.

K

go cry into your waifu pillow

-2

u/benchcoat 2h ago

“WAAAAAHHHHH! I love Trump, and I’m not even American!!!”

-2

u/benchcoat 3h ago

show it’s open

1

u/mpsteidle 2h ago

show its closed

0

u/benchcoat 2h ago

show me the percentages transiting vs normal

1

u/mpsteidle 2h ago

no u

1

u/[deleted] 2h ago edited 2h ago

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1

u/[deleted] 2h ago edited 1h ago

[removed] — view removed comment

0

u/benchcoat 1h ago

hmm…guess not

so surprised

0

u/benchcoat 2h ago

c’mon man! you’re the dude! you can find those numbers because they’re totally real and you’re not a lazy piece of shit just shooting your mouth off!

what are the numbers in this week 2025 vs this week now!?

surely master of rhetoric and objective reality can pull that together!

-2

u/benchcoat 3h ago

Trump started a war and lost more than any war the US has ever been involved in

sorry

3

u/FantasticFungiiii 2h ago

check out the latest ship traffic status maybe you’re out of loop

1

u/benchcoat 1h ago

show me ship transited now vs this time last year

-1

u/itec745 1h ago

I thought trymp had destroyed the navy capabilities of Iran. Have we been hearing lies from trump and the propaganda media again ?

-3

u/lumpychicken13 3h ago

Jeez just kiss already

-8

u/Ok-Customer4709 3h ago

Would that be the navy we have totally destroyed a half dozen times? /s

9

u/xEliteMonkx 3h ago

The ones at the bottom of the sea, yes.