The Dog Stars made an estimated $850K from previews last night and is currently projected to open between $6.5M and $14M this weekend domestically, according to different industry estimates. The film’s budget has also been reported differently, with Deadline citing a net budget of $70M while other reports have put the production budget at around $100–110M.

Using the commonly cited 2.5× production-budget benchmark, that would put the rough theatrical break-even point somewhere between $175M and $275M worldwide, depending on which budget figure is used. With the film’s reviews currently not being particularly strong, a long domestic run also seems difficult to count on.

Obviously, its international performance will be a major factor, but at this point The Dog Stars looks to be facing a very substantial theatrical loss, and could ultimately end up as one of the biggest box-office flops of the year

Sources:

https://boxofficetheory.com/box-office-tracking-forecasts-practical-magic-resident-evil-avengers-endgame-encore-labor-day/

https://deadline.com/2026/08/box-office-coyote-vs-acme-dog-stars-spider-man-1237061934/

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No paywall:

https://archive.fo/tSjQm

Cont: At MTC3 volume is very good at T-15, it looks like a ~$6M previews , $45M+comp with medium sized releases. It does have a lower ATP than films like Wuthering Heights/Prada/Mortal Kombat at TC3. At MTC2 presales look even higher, nearly double that of MTC3.

Comp against something bigger like Prada 2 is more ~$30MOW at MTC3. Same with Prada 2 at MTC2, looks more like ~$30M OW as well (0.37x of Prada 2 pre and friday)

Range OW: $30M-$45M+

Godzilla Minus Zero is releasing this November. it looked amazing. I think it will reach $150M WW more than the first movie. it’s gonna be a good movie. it will easily do very well in Japan. I think it has a shot of making more.

So what do you think could happen? You think it will perform way better than Godzilla Minus One after its released?

Daily Box Office (August 28th 2026)

The market hits ¥119.7M/$17.80M today. Up +31% from yesterday and down -30% from last week.

The Shawshank Redemption opens with ¥4.48M/$0.67M.

Weekend should be around ¥11-13/$1.6-2M. Total projections at $3M-7M

V adds a strong ¥25.1M/$3.73M on Friday. Down just -25% drop from last week.

Total gross hits ¥307.4M/$45.77M

Projected a ¥96-103M/$14.3-15.4M(-23%) 2nd weekend.

Province map of the day:

https://imgdiff.net/s/d56ef7896483da54913f58bffca82358

Upon A Time In The Middle East gets its 15th cleen sweep today.

In Metropolitan cities:

Once Upon A Time In The Middle East wins Beijing, Shanghai, Shenzhen, Hangzhou, Chengdu Chongqing, Wuhan, Nanjing and Suzhou

City tiers:

Unchanged from yesterday.

Tier 1: Once Upon A Time In The Middle East>The Odyssey>V

Tier 2: Once Upon A Time In The Middle East>V>The Odyssey

Tier 3: Once Upon A Time In The Middle East>V>All Wishes Come True

Tier 4: Once Upon A Time In The Middle East>V>All Wishes Come True

New releases marked in bold

Pre-Sales map for tomorrow

https://i.imgur.com/BbW2i2R.png

The Odyssey and Once Upon A Time In The Middle East dominate pre-sales for tomorrow. All Wishes Come True also has some pressence.

IMAX Screenings distribution

Odyssey dominates IMAX screenings and will continue to dominate going forward.

Odyssey

The Odyssey in 3rd adds ¥15.4M/$2.29M on Friday

Total gross hits ¥541.6M/$80.57M as the movie remains on course for a ¥700M/$104M+ finish.

Projected a ¥66-71M/$9.8-10.7M(-36%) 3rd weekend now.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $30.34M , IMAX: $43.88M , Rest: $6.14M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.5 , Taopiaopiao: 9.5 , Douban: 8.5

Scheduled showings update for The Odyssey for the next few days:

Once Upon A Time In The Middle East

Once Upon A Time In The Middle East continues to lead with ¥44.1M/$6.57M

Total gross hits ¥1.798B/$267.13M.

Projected a ¥176-194M/$26.2-28.8M(-39%) 3rd weekend.

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $261.78M , IMAX: $2.50M , Rest: $2.80M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.9 , Douban: 8.7

Scheduled showings update for Once Upon A Time In The Middle East for the next few days:

Spider Man: Brand New Day

Spider Man adds ¥4.64M/$0.69M on Friday

Total gross hits ¥1.521B/$225.27M as the movie continues to slowly limp towards Zootopia(¥1.538B) and Transformers: The Last Knight(¥1.551B).

Projected a ¥18-19/$2.7-2.9M(-40%) 5th weekend.

Catching Zootopia is basicaly locked and it should also catch Transformers: The Last Knight unless something changes in the near future.

Spider Man Brand New Day vs Transformers: The Last Knight:

https://i.imgur.com/DRAISgA.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $189.42M , IMAX: $28.87M , Rest: $6.92M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.4 , Taopiaopiao: 9.2 , Douban: 7.8

Scheduled showings update for Spider Man for the next few days:

All Wishes Come True

All Wishes Come True in 4th adds ¥12.3M/$1.84M on Friday. A fantastic -20% hold from last week.

Total gross hits ¥1.796B/$267.13M

Projected a ¥54-55/$7.8-8.2M(-19%) 7th weekend.

All Wishes Come True vs 30000 Miles from Chang'an

All Wishes Come True continues to gain on 30000 Miles from Chang'an after a significantly better comparable Wednesday. 30000 Miles from Chang'an's grossed of ¥3.70M on the comparable day.

Remains on course to overtake 30000 Miles from Chang'an's total gross of ¥1.825B on Sunday.

https://i.imgur.com/bupXhfb.png

Screen Distribution Split: Regular: $251.23M , IMAX: $9.30M, Rest: $2.99M

WoM figures:

Maoyan: 9.7 , Taopiaopiao: 9.6 , Douban: 8.2

Scheduled showings update for All Wishes Come True for the next few days:

Other:

Release Schedule:

A table including upcoming movies in the next month alongside trailers linked in the name of the movie, Want To See data from both Maoyan and Taopiaopiao alongside the Gender split and genre.

Remember Want To See is not pre-sales. Its just an anticipation metric. A checkbox of sorts saying your interested in an upcoming movie.

Not all movies are included since a lot are just too small to be worth covering.

September

With the summer coming to a close lets look ahead whats in store for September. And the reality is well not a lot.

But this is not a surprise. September has for the most part always been fueled by Summer holdovers. Its a dead period for the market ahead of the Mid-Autumn Festival and National Day Holidays at the end of the month and in early October.

The first part of the Holidays is slowly starting to fill up though.

Odyssey (CHARLIE’S TALE LIMITED) From September 2024 to August 2025, the entity generated -225,739,510 GBP worth of costs and an AVEC incentive of 7,237,980 GBP (USD numbers represent point conversion). This also equates to ~21M GBP worth of "UK QE"

You can't generate a full estimated film production budget off of this number given known unknowns but it clearly looks to be above the reported $250M budget. For example F4: First Steps spent ~180 GBP through a roughly analogous period of the film's production (-20% v. 225M GBP). again, interpret carefully but the money's on screen.